Tag Archive | "CO-SEN"

Poll Update 11/1/10


Here are the polls of interest today.  Colorado, Pennsylvania and Illinois Senate races are very close.  Ohio’s Senate race is not.  Very few House polls in our most closely followed states, oddly.

Senate:

Colorado Senate (Marist/McClatchy): Ken Buck (R) 49%, Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 45%, Others 3%

Colorado Senate (YouGov): Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 49%, Ken Buck (R) 48%, Others 1%

Illinois Senate (YouGov): Alexi Giannoulias (D) 47%, Mark Kirk (R) 44%

Ohio Senate (Columbus Dispatch): Rob Portman (R) 56%, Lee Fisher (D) 40%

Ohio Senate (PPP): Rob Portman (R) 57%, Lee Fisher (D) 39%

Ohio Senate (YouGov): Rob Portman (R) 53%, Lee Fisher (D) 40%

Pennsylvania Senate (Marist/McClatchy): Patrick Toomey (R) 52%, Joe Sestak (D) 45%

Pennsylvania Senate (Muhlenberg College): Patrick Toomey (R) 45%, Joe Sestak (D) 43%

Pennsylvania Senate (PPP): Patrick Toomey (R) 51%, Joe Sestak (D) 46%

Pennsylvania Senate (Susquehanna-R): Patrick Toomey (R) 46%, Joe Sestak (D) 44%

Pennsylvania Senate (YouGov): Patrick Toomey (R) 50%, Joe Sestak (D) 44%

House:

Pennsylvania-11 (NRCC Internal Poll-R): Lou Barletta (R) 47%, Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) 45%

If the pollster designation has and “R” or a “D”, it is an internal party poll.

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Poll update: 10.28.10


Here is are the latest polls of interest as of October 28, 2010.

Colorado Senate (CNN): Ken Buck (R) 47%, Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 46%, Others 4%

Colorado Senate (RBI Strategies): Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 43%, Ken Buck (R) 42%, Others 4%

Pennsylvania Senate (CNN): Patrick Toomey (R) 47%, Joe Sestak (D) 43%

Pennsylvania Senate (Franklin and Marshall): Patrick Toomey (R) 43%, Joe Sestak (D) 36%

Pennsylvania Senate (Muhlenberg College): Patrick Toomey (R) 46%, Joe Sestak (D) 41%

Colorado-03 (Penn Schoen Berland): Scott Tipton (R) 47%, Rep. John Salazar (D) 43%

New York-19 (Siena College): Rep. John Hall (D) 47%, Nan Hayworth (R) 46%

New York-24 (Siena College): Rep. Michael Arcuri (D) 48%, Richard Hanna (R) 43

Pennsylvania-11 (Penn Schoen Berland): Lou Barletta (R) 48%, Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) 43%

If the parenthetical has an “R” or a “D”, it is an internal party poll.  Usually, but not always, those polls are less credible than independent polls because they skew towards the R or the D, as the case may be.

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Poll update: 10/10/25


Here is are the latest polls of interest as of October 26, 2010.

Colorado Senate (SurveyUSA): Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 47%, Ken Buck (R) 47%, Others 1%

Colorado Senate (PPP): Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 47%, Ken Buck (R) 47%

Illinois Senate (Chicago Tribune): Mark Kirk (R) 44%, Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41%, Others 9%

Illinois Senate (Anzalone-Liszt-D): Alexi Giannoulias (D) 38%, Mark Kirk (R) 36%, Others 11%

Ohio Senate (Ohio Newspapers Poll): Rob Portman (R) 58%, Lee Fisher (D) 39%

Ohio Senate (Wilson Research-R): Rob Portman (R) 49%, Lee Fisher (D) 38%

Pennsylvania Senate (Muhlenberg College): Patrick Toomey (R) 47%, Joe Sestak (D) 42%

Michigan-01 (EPIC-MRA): Dan Benishek (R) 42%, Gary McDowell (D) 40%, Others 8%

Michigan-03 (Public Opinion Strategies-R): Justin Amash (R) 49%, Pat Miles (D) 30%

If the parenthetical has an “R” or a “D”, it is an internal party poll.  Usually, but not always, those polls are less credible than independent polls because they skew towards the R or the D, as the case may be.

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Poll update 10/19/10


Here is are the latest polls of interest as of October 19, 2010.

Colorado Senate (Ipsos/Reuters): Ken Buck (R) 48%, Sen. Michael Bennet (D) 45%

Illinois Senate (Anzalone Liszt-D):  Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41%, Mark Kirk (R) 36%, Others 7%

Pennsylvania Senate (PPP): Joe Sestak (D) 46%, Patrick Toomey (R) 45%

Illinois-17 (NRCC Internal Poll-R): Bobby Schilling (R) 44%, Rep. Phil Hare (D) 41%

New York-19 (Monmouth Univ):  Rep. John Hall (D) 49%, Nan Hayworth (R) 48%

New York-20 (NRCC Internal Poll-R): Chris Gibson (R) 48%, Rep. Scott Murphy (D) 45%

Ohio-06 (NRCC Internal Poll-R): Rep. Charlie Wilson (D) 40%, Bill Johnson (R) 40%

Ohio-15 (Public Opinion Strategies-R):  Steve Stivers (R) 51%, Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy (D) 39%

Pennsylvania-03 (Fabrizio McLaughlin-R): Mike Kelly (R) 56%, Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper (D) 39%

Pennsylvania-10 (NRCC Internal Poll - R): Tom Marino (R) 41%, Rep. Chris Carney (D) 37%

Pennsylvania-15 (Muhlenberg College): Rep. Charlie Dent (R) 49%, John Callahan (D) 32%, Others 5%

If the parenthetical has an “R” or a “D”, it is an internal party poll.  Usually, but not always, those polls are less credible than independent polls because they skew towards the R or the D, as the case may be.

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CO-Sen: Tie race?


CO-Sen:  Most polls have Ken Buck (R) ahead of Michael Bennet (D) in Colorado.  Not this one.  PPP says it is basically a tie.  Bennet 46% and Buck 45%.

They used a likely voter model, not a registered voter model.

The question of the election season, yet to be answered, is “what the heck is a likely voter?”  How pollsters answer that question in making their conclusions makes for very different results in polling.

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Poll update 9/29/10


OH-Sen: Rob Portman (R) continues wide lead over Lee Fisher (D). Ipsos Reuters has a 13 point margin at 50-37.  A CBS/NYT poll has Portman up by 11 among likely voters, 45-34, and up by 6 among registered voters, 41-35. Rasmussen has Portman up 51-42%.

PA-Sen:  Joe Sestak (D) seems to be doing better recently against Pat Toomey (R).  Toomey has led throughout the campaign, but a few polls seem to have the race tightening.  Suffolk University has Toomey ahead by five points at 45-40.

CO-Sen:  Ken Buck (R) leads Michael Bennet (D) 51-43 according to Rasmussen.  The “over 50%” number is significant because, of course, once you get more than 50% of the votes, you win.  There are not enough undecided voters to change the outcome.

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CO-Sen: Buck (R) leads Bennet (D) as per CNN/Time


CO-Sen:  Republican Ken Buck leads incumbent Democrat Michael Bennet by five points, 49-44% among likely voters according to a CNN/Time poll.

The silver lining for Bennet is that (a) he leads among registered voters by 3 points, and (b) the poll results are within the margin of error.

Bennet’s support is Denver centric.

Buck’s lead has been echoed in other polls, so he seems to be in the best position right now.

The issue continues to be voter enthusiasm, where Republicans have the advantage.

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CO-Sen: Rasmussen has Buck leading


CO-Sen:  Rasmussen says Ken Buck (R) leads incumbent Michael Bennet (D) by four points, 49-45%.

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CO-Sen: Buck leads


CO-Sen:  Rasmussen has Ken Buck (R) ahead of incumbent Michael Bennet (D) by 3 points.  47-44%.

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CO-Sen: Buck cites spending concerns


This article, in the Pueblo Chieftain, arose from CPA’s Colorado Senate Candidate forum that was held on July 20, 2010 in Colorado Springs.

******

Buck cites spending concerns

(Photo of Ken Buck)

By PATRICK MALONE | [email protected]

COLORADO SPRINGS — U.S. Senate candidate Ken Buck trumpeted shifts in the corporate tax structure and domestic production of natural resources as his favored approaches to resurrecting America’s punch-drunk economy.

A bipartisan crowd of more than 100 gathered at the Stargazers Theatre for a forum hosted by the Coalition for a Prosperous America targeting the topics of economic growth, currency and jobs.

Buck fielded written questions submitted by the audience and read by moderator Joe Cole of Fox21 television news.

The candidate expressed his opposition to President Barack Obama’s policies ranging from the federal stimulus package to reforms in health care and the finance industry.

“I’m hard-pressed to find something I agree with,” Buck said.

He also said he would oppose the extension of unemployment benefits that face a vote in the Senate Tuesday.

Most of all, Buck stayed on point with his message that reduced government spending and lower taxes on individuals and businesses are the answers to America’s economic crisis.

“If we get our federal spending under control, we get our federal tax under control,” he said. “Reduce spending, reduce taxes and we will be more competitive globally.”
Buck also pointed to the link between affordable energy and manufacturing profitability, which he said increased environmental regulation was strained by imposing rules that place America at a competitive disadvantage.

“We need to drill here,” he said. “We need to look at nuclear energy.”

The candidate stopped short of calling for trade tariffs or adopting a governmental “buy-American” policy as answers to America’s reliance on affordable goods from foreign shores.

“I would not at this point (support that policy shift). I think we need to get our house in order before we deal with tariffs or penalizing folks whose products we’re importing,” said Buck. “We need to deal with our energy issue. We need to deal with our tax issue.”

Instead, he said creating an environment that’s friendlier to business in America could accomplish the same goal.

“Corporations are not patriotic. Corporations are profit-seeking entities. We need to create a climate in this country that will keep jobs here because corporations find it profitable to keep them here,” Buck said.

Buck, the Weld County district attorney, is facing former Lt. Gov. Jane Norton in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate. The winner of that race faces the victor in the Democratic primary between U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and former Colorado House Speaker Andrew Romanoff.

Buck and Romanoff attended Tuesday’s event in Colorado Springs. Norton and Bennet were invited, but didn’t attend. Organizers said the Norton campaign cited a scheduling conflict, and Bennet was in session with the U.S. Senate in Washington, D.C.

Michael Stumo, CEO for the Coalition for a Prosperous America, characterized the group as a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization that focuses on trade and economic issues and represents the interests of farming, ranching, manufacturing and labor. It advocates human rights, American sovereignty, balanced trade, environmentally neutral or beneficial policy and other factors with America’s economic well-being in mind.

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