Missouri: McCain pulls ahead 47-42%. The candidates were even one month ago.
New Jersey: Obama ahead 44-39%. His need narrowed from 9 points last month.
538 is a Dem leaning blog, but very, very statistics driven. A blogger there says Obama's national lead should be discounted because: (1) the incumbent party tends to do better on Election Day than early month polls show; and (2) there is a tendency of polls to overstate the performance of Democrats.
