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Written by Stumo
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Wednesday, 18 June 2008 |
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What is truthiness?
Truthiness is a word that U.S. television comedian Stephen Colbert
popularized in 2005 as a satirical term to describe things that a
person claims to know intuitively or "from the gut" without regard to
evidence, logic, intellectual examination, or facts.
What is the truthiness that begets my presentation to you of the
definition of truthiness? The free trader truthiness on
trade. Brought to you today by Deloitte (fka Deloitte and Touche).
They say American manufacturers are optimistic. An email
commenter said this about the Deloitte survey, performed in
coordination with... you guessed it... the National Association of
Manufacturers - the home of manufacturing truthiness.
Right at the very end of the article, the bias of the authors is
revealed when they indicate that "The simplistic way to view
manufacturing is to look only where production is located." Thus,
it is okay to relocate production to allegedly low cost centers like
China and India and still consider yourself a U.S. manufacturer if you
leave other non-production operations here. And I am willing to
bet that Deloitte has services to help U.S. producers do just that . . .
United States is No. 1 as Manufacturers Plan to Expand, New Deloitte Survey Shows
North American Manufacturers Are Bullish on NAFTA as Contributing
to Competitiveness; Production Remains Achilles' Heel as
Companies Compete Globally
WASHINGTON, June 18 /PRNewswire/ -- Despite intense
global competition, manufacturers consider North America the most
desirable region for expansion over the next three years, according to
a new survey released today by Deloitte.
The survey, Made in North America, targeted top-tier
executives of manufacturing companies with North American operations.
Results showed that these companies have expansion plans for a variety
of operations, including sales, service, research and development, and
sourcing. While expansion plans are global, North America -- especially
the United States was cited as the No. 1 likely location in the short
term. Most surprisingly, these manufacturers seem to have a
renewed emphasis on North America as the home for actual production
facilities, hoping to turn around an area that has been lagging.
In terms of the executives' agendas for expansion,
the survey found that sales and services topped the list with 76
percent planning to expand sales in the United States, 58 percent in
Canada and 67 percent in Mexico. Sourcing of raw materials and parts
(50 percent in China, 49 percent in the United States, and 43 percent
in Mexico) and production (44 percent in the United States, 37 percent
in Mexico and 37 percent in China) rounded out the top three priorities.
Overall, the vast majority of respondents said North
America will not lose competitive ground in those areas over the next
five years. And a significant number said they believe North America
will become even more competitive by 2012 in sales and marketing (45
percent), information technology (41 percent), customer service (37
percent), R&D/engineering (36 percent) and finance/accounting (34
percent). A small percentage predicted that North America will be less
competitive globally in these areas by 2012, with the balance being
neutral.
"While globalization will continue and some
manufacturing jobs will follow, North America is showing significant
resiliency, based on the plans of these executives," said Craig Giffi,
a Deloitte LLP vice chairman and the U.S. Consumer & Industrial
Products industry leader.
The survey also shed new light on how North
American manufacturers view free-trade agreements. Overall,
manufacturers paint a positive picture of their experiences with the
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) after almost 15 years,
according to survey respondents.
In fact, North American manufacturers said they are
confident about their competitive position in the global marketplace,
and expect that to remain true for the next several years. The only
dark spot is production capability. Despite plans to expand in North
America in the short term, survey respondents painted a gloomy picture
of this region's ability to compete over the long run with lower-cost
locations for production, especially Asia.
More than half of survey respondents (61 percent)
said they expect North America to become even less competitive globally
as a site for production by 2012. The key barriers to making production
competitive globally were seen as labor cost (cited by 71 percent), tax
policy (66 percent), work rules (66 percent), lack of availability of
skilled labor (51 percent) and costs of raw materials and energy (56
percent). Not surprisingly, these were the issues most frequently cited
by executives surveyed as areas that governments should address as
matters of public policy.
By contrast, China and India were seen by executives
surveyed as becoming increasingly competitive as locations for
production facilities. For example, 37 percent of respondents said they
plan to expand in China in the next three years, and 24 percent in
India.
As production shifts, manufacturers indicated they
will move other operations as well. For example, more than 48 percent
of respondents said they plan to expand sales operations in China over
the next three years, and 34 percent said they plan to do the same in
India. Additionally, 27 percent plan service operations expansion in
China and 23 percent plan to do so in India.
"While the focus on expanding both production
capacity and sales and service in North America, China and India may
seem like a contradiction," says Giffi, "it is evidence of the fact
that to compete in the future, manufacturers need to be able to grow in
all major markets around the world."
Giffi added, "The simplistic way to view
manufacturing is to look only where production is located. It's clear
that a more accurate way to measure the economic impact of these
companies is to look at where all operations are located, including
sourcing, research and development, distribution, finance, marketing,
and all of the other functions necessary for a company to thrive. In
most cases, executives are telling us that North America provides a
competitive business environment for most of these activities."
About the Survey
Deloitte, Deloitte Canada and Deloitte Mexico, with
the cooperation of the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM), The
Manufacturing Institute, and Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
(CME), surveyed 321 executives of leading North American manufacturing
enterprises across product sectors to obtain their perspectives on
their current and expected future competitiveness. The majority of
companies represented in the survey (45 percent) are based in the
United States. The survey responses have been summarized and represent
the opinions of the executive management of these firms. No
supplementary research has been added.
For more information and to download the complete
survey results please go to http://www.deloitte.com/us/NAFTA.
About Deloitte
As used in this document, "Deloitte" means Deloitte
LLP. Please see http://www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed
description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries.
Contact: Allyson
McKenney
Liz Torrez
Public
Relations
Hill & Knowlton
Deloitte
+1 312 255 3036
+1 203 708
4406
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SOURCE Deloitte
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In the news
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The following article appeared on the online site for Manufacturing & Technology News on November 17, 2008 and was written by Paul Craig Roberts, former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration.
By most accounts the U.S. economy is in serious trouble. Robert Reich, an adviser to President-elect Obama, calls it a "mini-depression," but that designation might be optimistic. Russian economist Mikhail Khazin says that the "U.S. will soon face a second Great Depression." It is possible that even Khazin is optimistic.
I cannot predict the future. However, I can explain what the problems are, how they differ from past times of troubles and why traditional remedies, such as the public works programs that Reich proposes, are unlikely to succeed in reviving the U.S. economy. |
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