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Written by Stumo
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Saturday, 01 March 2008 |
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Buffett's letter is out. Particularly harsh words
directed to the Wall Street financial CEO's, who really are stupid and
greedy. Yes, they are stupid and greedy. We should not
listen to them and let them write trade agreements anymore.
But he [Buffett] was willing to say, in effect, I told you so,
in recalling his warning a year ago about weakened lending practices
in the mortgage market.
Just about all Americans came to believe that house prices would
forever rise, he wrote. That conviction made a borrowers income and
cash equity seem unimportant to lenders, who shoveled out money,
confident that H.P.A. house price appreciation would cure all
problems. Today, our country is experiencing widespread pain because of
that erroneous belief. As house prices fall, a huge amount of financial
folly is being exposed. You only learn who has been swimming naked when
the tide goes out and what we are witnessing at some of our largest
financial institutions is an ugly sight.
His criticism of other companies was based on the fact that many assume
their pension funds will earn 8 percent a year from investments, a
return he deems unlikely given the low level of interest rates, but one
that lets them report higher profits now.
He compared money managers who promise double-digit returns to the
queen in Alice in Wonderland, who proclaimed, Why, sometimes Ive
believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast. Mr.
Buffett added, Beware the glib helper who fills your head with
fantasies while he fills his pockets with fees.
Mr. Buffett pointed out that some companies with pension plans in both
Europe and the United States assume better returns on the American
plans than the European ones.
This discrepancy is puzzling, he said. Why should these companies
not put their U.S. managers in charge of the non-U.S. pension assets
and let them work their magic on these assets as well? Ive never seen
this puzzle explained. But the auditors and actuaries who are charged
with vetting the return assumptions seem to have no problem with it.
What is no puzzle, however, is why C.E.O.s opt for a high investment
assumption: It lets them report higher earnings. And if they are wrong,
as I believe they are, the chickens wont come home to roost until long
after they retire.
Mr. Buffett also had harsh words for state and local governments.
Public pension promises are huge and, in many cases, funding is
woefully inadequate. Because the fuse on this time bomb is long,
politicians flinch from inflicting tax pain, given that problems will
only become apparent long after these officials have departed. Promises
involving very early retirement sometimes to those in their low 40s
and generous cost-of-living adjustments are easy for these officials to
make. In a world where people are living longer and inflation is
certain, those promises will be anything but easy to keep.
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In the news
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Colorado CPA member Milt Heft has these thoughts on money, wealth and the economy. Heft is the owner of Petrogen, Inc in Colorado Springs.
A few thoughts about manufacturing:
There is a great misunderstanding of the relationship- between money and wealth. The beginning principles with which we can all agree are a few and simple noble truths:
1. Money is meaningless without wealth.
2. Wealth is difficult to distribute without money.
3. Wealth is the reality of the physical things we need to survive and thrive: food, clothing, shelter, ice cream & computers. It is the product of mining, industrial production, and agriculture.
4. Money is anything that make the wheels of production and distribution go round.
5. Money is easy to manufacture and control.
6. Wealth takes a lot of blood, sweat, toil and tears.
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