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A UK view on trade, and govts buying foreign companies |
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Written by Stumo
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Wednesday, 06 February 2008 |
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I have to say the Brits write well. The Economist is a
wonderfully written magazine which I appreciate even when I
disagree. Americans like me (especially me) are often less artful
in our prose... rough, pithy and taunting. An opinion piece in
today's London's Telegraph by Irwin Stelzer is good reading with variety... it has a bit of nuance, a bit of surprise, and a bit of idiocy.
Let's start with the dumb stuff first. Forgive me for quoting liberally.
Gordon Brown and George W. Bush have one thing in common. No, not
their brand of toothpaste, nor a fondness for jeans and casual jackets.
Nor a willingness to see the Iraq war through to victory. Nor a belief
that tax cuts can stimulate economic growth. ...
Both resist efforts to raise barriers to the free flow of goods
into their countries, with an occasional politically necessitated lapse
on Bush's part. And both favour the free flow of capital and welcome
the investment of sovereign wealth funds in their nations' financial
and other institutions.
Pure wacko free trader. But then, he indicts the sovereign
wealth funds... governments buying companies in other countries.
The sovereign wealth funds are not like other investors. They are
large pools of capital controlled by governments. Governments have
political as well as economic objectives.
Vladimir Putin aims to control the flow of natural gas into Western
Europe, not just because he wants to maximise the profits from sale of
Russia's natural resources. He also seeks political leverage: he can
now threaten Western Europe with cold, dark nights if they prove too
friendly to America, or too willing to provide Nato with adequate
resources, or otherwise offend Russian sensibilities.
So, too, with the massive funds in the hands of Middle Eastern
governments. Yes, their investment in Western banks, struggling to
restore their balance sheets to some semblance of health after writing
off sub-prime and other bad loans, is a blessing for the banks. But
there is going to be a sting in the tail.
Consider Norway, hardly a country subject to the political pressures
that exist in Russia, China, and the Middle East. It dumped Wal-Mart
shares when the giant retailer fought to prevent the trade unions from
getting a toehold in its stores. That was a political, not a purely
economic, decision.
Or consider this: suppose Russia makes a bid for a major UK utility,
such as Centrica, extending its control over energy supply. Or that the
China Development Bank expands its $3 billion, three per cent stake in
Barclays Bank to, say 10 per cent, which would certainly give it a
policy say in the bank's lending policies.
Or that Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds by their very presence as
major owners of US and Western banks deter boards from funding
entrepreneurs in Israel, or companies developing alternatives to
oil-based fuels.
Is the remedy mere transparency? Transparency seems like weak tea to me in the face of geopolitical gamesmanship.
Already the International Monetary Fund is calling for more transparency - a long-held Brown goal - on the part of these funds.
And regulators who rely on shareholders to discipline the executives of
the companies they own are worried about two problems: either that the
funds will be active investors and politicise investment, labour and
environmental policies, or remain passive, in which case managements
will be free to pursue their own interests rather than those of all
shareholders.
Brown won't be able to rely on Adam Smith for intellectual support of
unrestricted free trade. His townsman, faced with Chinese currency
manipulation and artificial barriers to imports imposed by Japan, would
say "There may be good policy in retaliations" if they force changes in
the policy of trading partners.
And apparently voters in the UK are tiring of free trade policies
that enrich the multinationals and impoverish the trodden masses.
Never mind that overall trade has enriched Britain, or that
the perception that the middle- and lower-income groups have not
benefited is much disputed. Economists of all political persuasions now
feel comfortable advising politicians they serve that support for free
trade might carry unpleasant consequences when the votes are counted.
That's the beauty of democracy. The Very. Serious. People.,
whether in Washington or London, can sit in their incestual
amplification chamber for a while, but then an election hits.
Self correction and renewal can sweep out the ideological
detritus. Realignment with reality then has a chance.
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In the news
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Colorado CPA member Milt Heft has these thoughts on money, wealth and the economy. Heft is the owner of Petrogen, Inc in Colorado Springs.
A few thoughts about manufacturing:
There is a great misunderstanding of the relationship- between money and wealth. The beginning principles with which we can all agree are a few and simple noble truths:
1. Money is meaningless without wealth.
2. Wealth is difficult to distribute without money.
3. Wealth is the reality of the physical things we need to survive and thrive: food, clothing, shelter, ice cream & computers. It is the product of mining, industrial production, and agriculture.
4. Money is anything that make the wheels of production and distribution go round.
5. Money is easy to manufacture and control.
6. Wealth takes a lot of blood, sweat, toil and tears.
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Read more...
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