GM - good for America PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Tuesday, 30 October 2007

GM is a good old American car company.  We should be patriotic and buy their stuff. Right?

GM is putting up a major research center in China, as another major transfer of our R&D elsewhere.  It continues that company's practice of driving Michigan auto suppliers out of business by replacing them with foreign suppliers, even if the local products are the same price.  There is something very strong about the outsourcing mentality that causes an illogical inertia.

That's not to say that our companies should not invest overseas.  But if they build overseas to re-import to the U.S. that is a problem.  The currency manipulation and value added tax problems facilitate this.

  • GM could, if it wanted to, drive major sensible change to U.S. trade policy.
  • GM could, if it wanted to, push many politicians to rein in the currency manipulation problem.
  • GM could, if it wanted to, be a major force in driving an audit of trade policy to correct the U.S. economic course before signing new agreements.

But... it outsources.  God Bless America.

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Exactly : Michael Stumo
Right on target
October 30, 2007
Colorado Springs Manufacturing Task Force : David C Anderson
Although GM could, and should, do what is recommended, note that GM is meeting Chinese government requirements to develop technology in a domestic Chinese setting in order to participate in that market. The New York Times article points out that the National Development and Reform Commission local-content rules are pointed as much as anything at Toyota, which assembles in China but ships intellectual property laden critical components in sealed boxes - from plants in Japan.

With the so-called richest, at least at present largest, world market, the US government could do much more to require reciprocal development attention. That would, however, conflict with the interests of the corporate world - in which US-based corporations are responsible for importing 2/3rds of product sourced in China.
October 30, 2007
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In the news

Today, the Labor Department revised up its estimate of second quarter productivity growth to 4.3 percent from its previous estimate of 2.2 percent. My forecast was 3.9 percent and the consensus forecast was 3.5 percent.

This is certainly good news for inflation and interest rate policy. Rapidly rising productivity growth coupled with easing oil prices will bring down headline inflation, as well as the closely watched core index of price increases, which excludes food and energy.

Simply, higher productivity permits businesses to better absorb increases in wages and benefit costs, and have something left over to help cover higher material costs. The Labor Department found that hourly unit labor costs actually fell 0.5 percent. Higher productivity should ease Federal Reserve fears about inflation and cause it to keep interest rates steady.

Rapidly rising productivity indicates U.S. industry continues to lead in the application of new and better methods for making and delivering goods and services, and continues to bang out great new products. The U.S. economy could perform very well with more supportive policies from Washington--getting the dollar exchange rate against the euro and Chinese yuan in line with prices; enlightened energy conservation, exploration and development strategies; and fixing the woes of banks and credit markets.

Friday, the Labor Department will report employment data for August. In July, the economy lost 51,000 jobs, and the consensus forecast is for another 75,000 jobs lost in August.  My forecast is for a 65,000 loss.
 

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