Morici: 11.10.08: Economic Forecasts for upcoming economic data PDF Print E-mail
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Monday, 10 November 2008

Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Business and former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission. 

The following are his  forecasts for upcoming economic data the week of November 10, 2008: 

Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Business and former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission.
 

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Here is another piece written by Dr. McMillion of MBG Information Services.

Even during year of recession, the US is producing almost $2 billion each day LESS than it is spending and is forced to borrow and sell assets abroad to make up the difference

The Dept. of Commerce’ BEA reported today on the most complete accounting of US commercial relations with the world – the Current Account -- for 2008-Q3. Despite the US recession that started one year ago, today’s report shows that during the 91 days of Q3 the US suffered another -$174.1 billion in global losses bringing total Current Account losses for the first three calendar quarters of 2008 to -$530,675 billion.
http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/international/transactions/transnewsrelease.htm
 
That is, despite the US recession that began in December 2007, through the first 274 days of 2008 the US produced goods and services worth -$1.94 billion LESS each day than it spent and was forced to borrow and sell assets abroad to offset the difference. Economists expect that when a country’s economy is growing slower than the world economy – and certainly when it is in recession – that country’s current accounts will be in surplus as it imports less and exports more.
 
Since 2001 the US has grown slower than the world economy every year and yet the US has accumulated current account deficits (production shortages/net foreign borrowing) totaling -$4.8 Trillion.
 
Any economic rescue plan that ignores this constant hemorrhage of production and wealth is doomed to tragic failure.