WY-AL: Lummis v. Trauner PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Friday, 30 May 2008

Wyoming's at large seat.  Barbara Cubin (R) is retiring. She had a tight race in 2008, winning by about 1,000 votes over Gary Trauner (D). 

Cynthia Lummis (R) is running against Trauner for the seat.  Trauner leads 44-41% according to a Research 2000 poll commissioned by a political blogger (5/20-21).  I've seen no other polls.

Also, McCain leads Obama 53-40% in Wyoming according to the same poll.

 
MS-Sen: Wicker and Musgrove tied PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Thursday, 29 May 2008

Well, essentially tied anyway.  Ronnie Musgrove (D) is up 47-46% over Roger Wicker (R) who was appointed to fill Trent Lott's seat until the November election.  Within the margin of error so the race is basically tied.

It's an odd year for Mississippi, which has two Senate races because of Lott's resignation.  Incumbent Thad Cochrane (R) faces challenger Erik Fleming (D) 58-35%.

McCain leads Obama 50-44%. 

 
Pres - McCain leads Obama in MI PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Thursday, 29 May 2008

From SurveyUSA (5/27-28)- McCain over Obama 41-37%.  Many undecideds.  They were virtually tied in February, with Obama at 46% and McCain at 45%.

SUSA is another top tier polling firm.  It performed well in the last two elections and in the primaries.

 
AL-Sen: Sessions leads Figures PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Thursday, 29 May 2008

In Alabama, Incumbent Jeff Sessions (R) leads challenger Vivan Davis Figures by 62-29%

McCain leads Obama  60-32%.  Bush won the state in 2004 by 25 points, and in 2000 by 14 points.

 
Countervailing duties promoting trade PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Thursday, 29 May 2008

Countervailing duties are good for trade.  They are a major enforcement mechanism. A "duty" is a fee imposed on imports.  But a "countervailing duty" is a fee imposed specifically to neutralize unfair subsidies making those imports artificially cheap.  It is pro-free market because it eliminates the trade distortion.  It brings us closer to the level playing field that does not now exist.

Private contracts between private parties would not be honored unless a good system existed to enforce the contract.  That is the court system.

Contracts among countries are treaties - though the trade agreements somehow avoided this "treaty" designation to get rid of the 2/3rds majority requirement in the Senate to get a new deal. 

Currency misalignment is an unfair subsidy.  China's blockbuster growth is not natural, at least not to the extent of that fast growth, but artificially maintained by government currency policies.  It can be neutralized with a countervailng duty, if we pass a law in the U.S. to do it.

Child and prison labor are an unfair subsidy.  It could be countervailed.

Foreign programs to rebate their domestic taxes when a company exports to us is a subsidy, taking the tax load off of exported goods while the tax load remains on domestically sold products.  It could be countervailed.

So the editorial boards of various newspapers should embrace, rather than oppose, enforcing true free trade through countervailing duties.  If you don't enforce a deal, what good is it?

 
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