NY Times Editorial Board endorsed McCain/Clinton PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Friday, 25 January 2008

The NY Times leans Democratic generally.  They endorsed Clinton and McCain for the primaries.

Clinton has experience, and is tested, they said.  

On Edwards, it was fun, but:

We certainly don’t buy the notion that he can hold back the tide of globalization.

Remember the NY Times has never seen a trade agreement they did not like, though I doubt they read one.  And they equate trade agreements with trade, as if cross border trade occurred because of governments rather than companies buying stuff.

Edwards and Duncan Hunter injected the destructiveness of our grab-bag-of-trade-agreements-that-are-not-enforced trade policy into both the D and R debates. 

Hunter's positions were the strongest, most specific and most sensible. But he never broke out of the third tier and the other Republican candidates seem resistant to the ideas.  How this plays when the economy is becoming the number one issue, and 2/3rds of Republicans believe trade policy has been bad for America, will remain to be seen.  Hunter pulled the plug on his campaign January 19, 2008.

Edwards trade positions caught on more strongly in the Dem campaigns.  Edwards has been a first tier candidate, forcing Obama and Clinton to respond.  Also, there is more distrust of trade agreements among the D's in the House and Senate than among R's, so criticism is not heresy.

The pro-sane trade endorsements should have been Edwards and Hunter. 

 
NY-25: Walsh (R) not seeking reelection PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Friday, 25 January 2008

James T. Walsh is a 10 term Republican from New York.  HIs district runs from Syracuse to the Rochester area.  He announced he is not running for re-election.  Because the announcement just occurred, no Republicans have announced their candidacies.

Walsh voted for CAFTA and the Peru FTA.

Walsh won a close race in 2006 against Dan Maffei, a Democrat.  Maffei had announced previously that he would run again in the 2008 race.

On trade, Maffei's website calls for enforcement of trade laws, with an emphasis on internationally recognized labor and environmental standards.

Kerry won the district over Bush by 50.31% to 47.77% in 2004.  Walsh beat Maffei by 1.5% in 2006.  The race tracker wiki is here.

 
Stimulus and Trade PDF Print E-mail
Written by Richard R. Oswald   
Thursday, 24 January 2008

Congress and the President are negotiating a stimulus package that it appears will devote about two thirds of its cost to food stamp increases, unemployment benefit increases, and individual tax rebates. While most Democrats argue that stimulating the economy in a recession is best accomplished from the bottom up, conservatives are still talking about cutting capital gains and other taxes for business in order to create new jobs.  

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Dobbs, Buffett and Squanderville PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Wednesday, 23 January 2008

Dobbs' missive today:

President Bush's assurances that we'll all be "just fine" if he and Congress can work out an economic stimulus package seem a little hollow this morning.

Much like Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke's assurances last May that the subprime mortgage meltdown would be contained and not affect the broader economy. And it seems Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has spent most of the past year trying to influence Chinese economic policy rather than setting the direction of U.S. economic policy.

Remember Paulson's Strategic Economic Dialogue® that I labeled a Fruitless Economic Monologue

Dobbs continues:

The irresponsible fiscal policies of the past decade have led to a national debt that amounts to $9 trillion. The irresponsible so-called free trade policies of Democratic and Republican administrations over the past three decades have produced a trade debt that now amounts to more than $6 trillion, and that debt is rising faster than our national debt. All of which is contributing to the plunge in the value of the U.S. dollar.

And about the "stimulus package?"  What about that?

Bernanke endorsed the concept of a short-term economic stimulus package, but he cautioned that the money must be spent correctly: "You'd hope that [consumers] would spend it on things that are domestically produced so that the spending power doesn't go elsewhere."

Just what would you have us spend it on? The truth is that consumers spend most of their money on foreign imports, and any stimulus package probably would be stimulating foreign economies rather than our own. Imports, for example, account for 92 percent of our non-athletic footwear, 92 percent of audio video equipment, 89 percent of our luggage and 73 percent of power tools. In fact, between 1997 and 2006, only five of the 114 industries examined in a U.S. Business and Industry Council report gained market share against import competition.

(emphasis mine).

These are our leaders.

Warren Buffett told us all why he was not buying the U.S. dollar in 2003.  Because of the trade deficit.  "Squanderville and Thriftville" was the metaphor.  The full Fortune article is below the fold. (read more).  It's worth re-reading.

*****

 

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Quote of the Day PDF Print E-mail
Written by Stumo   
Wednesday, 23 January 2008

I don't think the various candidates' stimulus packages will matter that much as voters sort out their primary preferences. What's vexing voters is anxiety that America's economic preeminence has peaked -- that our major banks and corporations have exported our productive capacities to China, even as our dependence on oil is exporting our consumption capacities to the Middle East.

Harold Meyerson, Washington Post 

 
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