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Christopher Cox, SEC chairman, has been speaking about Sovereign Wealth Funds, and avoiding action.
Let's be clear. The question is how
the Sovereign Wealth Funds can be used for foreign policy reasons to
gain geopolitical strength, or reduce our geopolitical strength.
Cox makes good points on SWF influence, but uses quotes from important,
but dead, people from the past, chants some rhetorical bromides and
leaps to optimistic conclusions to justify doing nothing.
This is an astounding fact.
Today, the worlds sovereign wealth funds are significantly larger
than all of the worlds hedge funds combined. According to some
estimates, they could grow as large as $12 trillion over the next eight
years.
Hedge funds. They're really big. But not as big as the
massive oil-pumped funds of the Middle East (and Norway and Peru) and
the trade-surplus funds of Asia.
The problems with government ownership of investment:
Another
issue is the conflicts of interest that arise when government is both
the regulator and the regulated. When the government becomes both
referee and player, the game changes rather dramatically for every
other participant. Rules that might be rigorously applied to private
sector competitors will not necessarily be applied in the same way to
the sovereign who makes the rules.
And corruption:
the
opportunity for political corruption increases. Graft, bribery, and
other forms of financial corruption by governments and political
figures is an unfortunate fact of life throughout the world as the
Commissions enforcement responsibilities under the Foreign Corrupt
Practices Act remind us on a daily basis. When individuals with
government power also possess enormous commercial power and exercise
control over large amounts of investable assets, the risk of misuse of
those assets, and of their conversion for personal gain, rises markedly.
Is it really "market forces"? What are "market forces" anyway?
Another equally pressing concern is market efficiency. As
Harvard economist and former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently
wrote, "The logic of the capitalist system depends on shareholders
causing companies to act so as to maximize the value of their shares.
It is far from obvious that this will over time be the only motivation
of governments as shareholders."
Transparency:
A fourth issue is transparency. In many industrial countries
today, the ability of journalists and citizens to inquire into
government affairs, or to criticize the conduct of government, is
severely limited. In some countries, criticism of government policies
lands you in jail, or worse. Is it reasonable to expect that these same
governments will be magically forthcoming with investors?
Information disparities:
If ordinary investors an estimated 100 million retail customers
in America own more than $10 trillion in equities and stock funds in
U.S. markets come to believe that they are at an information
disadvantage when they compete head to head in markets with government,
confidence in our capital markets could collapse, and along with it,
the market itself.
So Cox then asks a less pressing question as if it was the most
important question, before justifying his continuing decision to do
nothing.
Could the rise of sovereign business ultimately change the character of U.S. markets? It is an interesting question.
Yes, Chairman Cox, it is an interesting question. "Will it
rain tomorrow?" is an interesting question. But the pressing
question is how the Sovereign Wealth Funds can be used for foreign
policy reasons to gain geopolitical strength.
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