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China's submarine fleet to exceed U.S. |
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Written by Stumo
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Monday, 25 February 2008 |
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Do you wonder why we have limits on sensitive technology transfer to geopolitical rivals? This is why.
American
and other Western military analysts estimate that China has more than
30 advanced and increasingly stealthy submarines, and dozens of older,
obsolete types. By the end of the decade, they say, China will have
more submarines than the United States, although it will still lag
behind in overall ability.
I would say that the U.S. feels a strong threat from Chinese
submarines, said Andrei Chang, an expert on Chinese and Taiwan
military forces and editor of Kanwa Defense Review. China now has more
submarines than Russia, and the speed they are building them is
amazing. ...
In late 2006, one of
Chinas new Song-class conventional submarines remained undetected as
it shadowed the American aircraft carrier Kitty Hawk off the coast of
Okinawa, Japan... . The U.S. had no idea it was there, said
Allan Behm, a security analyst in Canberra, Australia, and a former
senior Australian Defense Department official. This is the great
capability of very quiet, conventional submarines.
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Why Dems should love a "fair tax" |
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Written by Stumo
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Sunday, 24 February 2008 |
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The presumably Democratic economist, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, has a
new look at the Fair Tax. I fully plagiarized the op-ed title he
used for my blog entry - "Why Democrats should love the Fair Tax." Don't tell Hillary Clinton.
The
Fair Tax is one of several ways to do a border adjustable tax that
would be quite good to level the playing field in trade. The
Coalition for a Prosperous America has identified the VAT-tariff
issue as a predominant problem in trade. Most of the debate on
the tax focuses upon domestic tax policy issues, which does not
necessarily drive the CPA position.
The full op-ed is reproduced
below the fold (hit "read more"). Yes, yes Mr. Boston Globe
lawyer, this full reproduction may be a copyright violation over and
above "fair use", but if you want me to take it down, send me an email.
*****
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Read more...
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The Impotent Rage of the Establishment on Trade |
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Written by Stumo
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Sunday, 24 February 2008 |
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The establishment is hyperventilating over the tough trade talk of
Clinton and Obama. The NY Times endorsed Hillary Clinton and John
McCain about one month ago. Now Hillary is deriding NAFTA and
saying we need a time out on trade agreements. Heresy!
Like
a child holding her ears and singing loudly to avoid hearing
uncomfortable truths, the NY Times editorial board repeats... and
repeats... and repeats its faulty world view over... and over... and
over. "It Must Be Ohio," is the Board's still-in-denial title of their editorial entry in today's Sunday Times.
The
faux-Economics-101 editorial rant denounces Clinton and Obama
statements in Ohio that NAFTA was a bad deal. Never mind the
evidence. Repeat world view here:
Trade opens foreign markets for American producers and gives
consumers more choices, while competition spurs productivity growth at
home.
They are so 1992.
Forget about correcting the trade
problems. Burial Insurance! We need more and better Burial
Insurance! Pay people who are crushed by trade.
The Democrats posturing on trade threatens to divert the nations
attention from what is really needed: a set of domestic policies to
help American workers cope with the dislocations wrought by
globalization and technological progress.
The editorial establishment still cannot believe that we have trade
deficits in virtually every category of goods. Low-tech,
high-tech, green-tech, whatever-tech. They never mention
it.
But the folks on the ground get it. This assessment
of why Obama's candidacy is roiling the Clinton campaign could have
easily been applied to the establishment-vs-the-citizenry dynamic
occurriing now on the trade issue.
In South Carolina, where last fall she was up 20 percentage points
in the polls, she relied on top-down endorsements and the patina of
inevitability, while the Obama campaign built a landslide-winning
organization from scratch at the grass roots.
The grass roots is rejecting the establishment on trade. The
establishment's impotent, noisy rage is increasingly comical.
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Exit polls: Trade big issue in Wisconsin |
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Written by Stumo
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Saturday, 23 February 2008 |
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Democratic primary voters in Wisconsin were asked about trade.
THUMBS DOWN ON GLOBALIZATION ...
Wisconsin Democratic primary voters were not big fans of globalization.
Seven in 10 said U.S. trade with other countries takes more jobs from
Wisconsin and fewer than one in five said it creates more jobs for the
state. One in 10 said international trade has no effect on the state
either way. But those skeptical about globalization didn't vote much
differently in the primary than those who said they think it's a good
thing.
The CNN report has a bit more detail.
The exit polls showed 44 percent of Democratic voters said the
economy was the most important issue in deciding their vote -- followed
by the war in Iraq at 28 percent and health care at 26 percent.
Fifty-five percent of those who cited the economy voted for Obama, compared to 44 percent for Clinton.
An overwhelming 90 percent of the Democratic voters polled said the nation's economy is either "not so good" or "poor."
And 71 percent said U.S. trade with other countries causes the loss of
American jobs, while only 17 percent said it creates jobs and 9 percent
said it has no effect.
Those who felt trade causes job loss also favored Obama, 55 percent to 43 percent.
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Good news: Chinese company's bid for 3Com fails |
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Written by Stumo
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Saturday, 23 February 2008 |
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The fast growing Chinese telecom company, Huawei, and Bain Capital tried to buy 3Com. The bid has now failed.
Huawei grew fast because of substantial Chinese government support:
With the benefit of an expanding Chinese telecom sector driving
basic revenue growth and substantial economic support from China's
government, Huawei has been able to broaden its product line and
address emerging market opportunities throughout the globe with such
speed an power that the global telecom supplier market has been able to
do littlemore than watch in stunned silence.
This was not capitalism at work, but foreign government strategic policy.
The
Coalition for a Prosperous America sent a letter to the appropriate
U.S. regulator, the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United
States (CFIUS), opposing the deal on national security grounds.
(The full text of the letter is below the fold... hit "read more").
The
CFIUS did not approve the deal. This is good news. Not
enough overall, in light of all the massive technology transfer and
foreign government procurement of U.S. assets. But good news.
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