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Morici: Cerberus Acquisition of Chrysler Makes Little Sense

Cerberus will acquire control of the Chrysler Group from DaimlerChrysler.

Cerberus will pay $7.4 billion for 80.1 percent of Chrysler Group and assume the North American automaker’s pension and health care liabilities. Daimler would retain 19.9 percent ownership.

This arrangement fails to address Chrysler’s fundamental competitiveness problems on three fronts.

First, the legacy health care costs impose a severe disadvantage on Chrysler. None of the Detroit Three can carry these liabilities and produce vehicles equal in quality and content to the North American transplants of Asian manufacturers.

Although the United Autoworkers Union has surprised observers by endorsing the acquisition, it is not clear how the legacy health care costs can be wholly removed from the cost of building vehicles without Cerberus sinking billions in new funds and partially frustrating the claims of present and future retirees.
 
Given the tough competition and slim profit margins that characterize the U.S. and global auto markets, whatever residual claims remain would come back to haunt the new company.

Second, the legacy costs aside, the company carries substantial labor cost disadvantages owing to work rules, job classifications and other elements of the UAW contract that raise the hourly cost of labor at Chrysler above those at Toyota and other North American facilities of Asian manufacturers.

Despite Cerberus’s strong track record of cutting costs in other firms it has acquired, the concession accepted by the UAW in deals with Chrysler, Ford and GM indicate a Cerberus-UAW deal will not completely and adequately align non-legacy labor costs with Toyota and other transplants in the United States. Without that, Chrysler engineers would have to be superior in every way to Japanese and Korean engineers, which is absolutely inconceivable.

Third, the new company will still be tethered to Daimler in elements of vehicle development, which is why Daimler retains 20 percent ownership. Mercedes and Chrysler enjoy some of the worst reliability and quality records in their classes of cars. A continued alliance would preserve some of the worst elements of the failed merger. Daimler has failed to put a good product on the road in North America, and a continued permanent alliance with Daimler would be foolish.

The additional capital Cerberus will put into Chrysler could be invested by DaimlerChrysler but Daimler chose not to invest such funds, because Chrysler is not a good bet. Cerberus has not demonstrated how it changes Chrysler’s fundamental matrix of liabilities.

Cerberus will acquire control of the Chrysler Group from DaimlerChrysler.

Cerberus will pay $7.4 billion for 80.1 percent of Chrysler Group and assume the North American automaker’s pension and health care liabilities. Daimler would retain 19.9 percent ownership.

This arrangement fails to address Chrysler’s fundamental competitiveness problems on three fronts.

First, the legacy health care costs impose a severe disadvantage on Chrysler. None of the Detroit Three can carry these liabilities and produce vehicles equal in quality and content to the North American transplants of Asian manufacturers.

Although the United Autoworkers Union has surprised observers by endorsing the acquisition, it is not clear how the legacy health care costs can be wholly removed from the cost of building vehicles without Cerberus sinking billions in new funds and partially frustrating the claims of present and future retirees.
 
Given the tough competition and slim profit margins that characterize the U.S. and global auto markets, whatever residual claims remain would come back to haunt the new company.

Second, the legacy costs aside, the company carries substantial labor cost disadvantages owing to work rules, job classifications and other elements of the UAW contract that raise the hourly cost of labor at Chrysler above those at Toyota and other North American facilities of Asian manufacturers.

Despite Cerberus’s strong track record of cutting costs in other firms it has acquired, the concession accepted by the UAW in deals with Chrysler, Ford and GM indicate a Cerberus-UAW deal will not completely and adequately align non-legacy labor costs with Toyota and other transplants in the United States. Without that, Chrysler engineers would have to be superior in every way to Japanese and Korean engineers, which is absolutely inconceivable.

Third, the new company will still be tethered to Daimler in elements of vehicle development, which is why Daimler retains 20 percent ownership. Mercedes and Chrysler enjoy some of the worst reliability and quality records in their classes of cars. A continued alliance would preserve some of the worst elements of the failed merger. Daimler has failed to put a good product on the road in North America, and a continued permanent alliance with Daimler would be foolish.

The additional capital Cerberus will put into Chrysler could be invested by DaimlerChrysler but Daimler chose not to invest such funds, because Chrysler is not a good bet. Cerberus has not demonstrated how it changes Chrysler’s fundamental matrix of liabilities.

Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Business and former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He also served as a senior fellow at the Iacocca Institute from 1989 to 1992.

 

One Response to “Morici: Cerberus Acquisition of Chrysler Makes Little Sense”

  1. blueneck says:

    The whole intent of private equity is to strip and flip. I see no other outcome in the case of Chrysler either. Putting Nardelli (of running Home Depot into the ground and walking away with 210 million infamy) should be the prime indicator this is so.

    Whats left of Chrysler will likely end up in the hands of the Indians or Chinese.

    Back in Iacocca’s day, management was truly interested in saving the company – but that was a time when most people understood how important manufacturing was to our economic well being. Iacocca rolled up his sleeves and went to work fixing the company – Dr Z on the other hand, bailed out at the first sign of trouble

    Chrysler would have been much better off in the hands of canadian auto parts giant Magna, who understands the automotive industry and has a stake in a successful Chrysler.

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